Main Article Content
The article conducts a retrospective epidemiological analysis of long-term and annual dynamics of the
incidence of measles of the population of the Republic of Kazakhstan for the period 1993-2015 years.
The "average annual rate of decline/increase" and predicted (theoretical) incidence of measles in 2016 are
calculated. The prediction method that was based on finding analytical expressions of the trend to
determine the level of incidence of measles for the next year is used. Analysis of monthly incidence of
measles identified winter-spring seasonality. The increasing of incidence was observed from mid January
to April. Analysis of cases of the measles on the territory, cases at 2-week intervals in 2015was made.
The average lengths of hospital stay of patients.